The Effect of Adult Use/Legalization of Cannabis on the Florida Medical Marijuana Industry

Jan 24, 2020 at 11:48 am by pj


 

By MICHAEL PATTERSON

 

In February 2020, the Florida Supreme Court will review a petition from a group called “Regulate Florida,” to be placed on the ballot in November 2020 to legalize the use and cultivation (home grow) of cannabis to adults over 21. There is a second petition for cannabis legalization gaining signatures for 2020 from a group called “Make it Legal Florida.”  Their petition does not include the ability to grow cannabis at home (home grow). Either way, it seems that all of us will be voting on some sort of full cannabis legalization next year. 

If legal cannabis becomes a reality in the Sunshine State in 2020, what will happen to the state’s Medical Marijuana program?  A lot of physicians have been asking me this question lately, and there is some good news for physicians who write MMJ recommendations and bad news. 

Let’s start with the bad news. Based on other states like Colorado who legalized adult-use cannabis in 2012, the medical cannabis patient numbers will consistently and steadily decline commencing at the passage of adult-use.  At its peak, Colorado had over 100,000 medical cannabis patients in the system.  As of 2019, the patient numbers are approximately 30,000 and declining. 

Now, let’s discuss the good news.  If adult-use cannabis is legalized in 2020, depending on how the eventual law is written, it would not go into effect until January 2022.  In 2016, 71 percent of Florida voted in favor of legalizing medical marijuana.  In 2017 the Florida legislature passed legislation on how to implement this new constitutional amendment, and it was signed into law by former Governor Rick Scott.  However, some parts of the law have still not been implemented as of today due to the bureaucracy that is our state legislative system. So, if you are a physician currently recommending MMJ or looking to get into the industry, there are still potentially more than two years left in a pure medical cannabis system.  You have time to begin thinking about options to adjust to a new legal market. 

Also, adult-use cannabis will have a tax, medical cannabis currently has no tax (that is not expected to change with adult-use legalization).  By having a tax on recreational cannabis, it will cause customers to pay more (sometimes 30 percent more) without a medical card.  This will encourage your patients to stay in the medical system for longer due to the fact the #1 most common complaint about medical cannabis is cost.

If you are looking to evolve your business model with the introduction of recreational/adult-use cannabis, consider the following:

 

 

 

 

 

 

The one constant in healthcare is change. Medical Marijuana is no different. The industry in Florida is evolving rapidly and providing opportunity for groups who can provide value and trust for their patients.

 

Michael C. Patterson, founder and CEO of U.S. Cannabis Pharmaceutical Research & Development of Melbourne, is a consultant for the development of the medical marijuana industry nationwide and in Florida. He serves as a consultant to Gerson Lehrman Group, New York and helps educate GLG partners on specific investment strategies and public policy regarding Medical Marijuana in the U.S. and Internationally. He can be reached at mpatterson@uscprd.com

 

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